Close presidential races historically trigger significant stock market rallies, with the S&P 500 averaging a 3.9% gain in tight contests since 1980. As the 2024 election approaches, polling shows a neck-and-neck race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, raising expectations for market performance post-election. Analysts suggest that the resolution of uncertainty typically boosts investor confidence, although unclear outcomes could lead to short-term market volatility.
Stocks generally rise after U.S. presidential elections, but investors should brace for initial volatility. Historical data shows average gains from Election Day to year-end, though declines often occur in the days and weeks following the election. Uncertainty over close races may prolong market fluctuations.
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